Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

525
FXUS62 KRAH 301838
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
238 PM EDT Sat May 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* No changes at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 230 PM Saturday...

1) A dry backdoor cold front will cross central NC this evening,
accompanied by gusty winds and a cooler, drier air mass tonight into
Sunday.

2) Today`s cold front will move back into the Carolinas late this
weekend, likely bringing some showers for the beginning of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 230 PM Saturday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... A dry backdoor cold front will cross central NC
this evening, accompanied by gusty winds and a cooler, drier air
mass tonight into Sunday.

The initial cold front has mostly cleared central NC other than the
far SW (namely Anson, Richmond and Scotland counties) where dew
points are still in the upper-60s to lower-70s. It is demarked by a
very impressive moisture gradient, as dew points are only in the
upper-30s to lower-50s behind it. For example, KVUJ observed a dew
point of 39F at 18z, while KAFP one county to its south reported a
dew point of 71F. This dry air will effectively end any
precipitation chances across central NC for the rest of the day, as
the line of convection is now exiting the SE NC coast.

A secondary backdoor cold front currently draped over central and
southeastern VA will move from NE to SW across the region this
evening from about 22z to 05z. It may be accompanied by a band of
mid-level clouds, but no precipitation is expected. It will result
in a wind shift from N to E/NE, and winds could gust to 20-25 mph
along and for several hours behind the frontal passage. Forecast
lows range from lower-50s to upper-50s, coolest NE and warmest SW.


KEY MESSAGE 2 ... Today`s cold front will move back into the
Carolinas late this weekend, likely bringing some showers for the
beginning of next week.

The cold front that has moved through the area today, bringing much
drier air into the region, will continue to sink to the south,
dropping all the way into the Florida Panhandle by Sunday evening.
However, the front will lift back north into Georgia and South
Carolina by Monday morning. The primary question at this point
appears to be whether a wave of low pressure can develop off the
Carolina coast, which would help to enhance rainfall locally. The
chance of showers Monday and Monday night is anywhere from 50
percent in Winston-Salem and Roxboro up to an 80 percent chance of
showers across southern counties. Whether or not a low develops will
certainly play into the potential rainfall amounts, but amounts
should be greatest to the south and east. Most locations should
expect to receive up to a quarter of an inch of rain, but locations
south of Raleigh have the best chance to receive up to three
quarters of an inch of rain. The chance of rain will linger into
Tuesday, but conditions should dry out Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 200 PM Saturday...

There is high confidence in VFR conditions across central NC through
the next 24 hours. A few sites in the Sandhills and Coastal Plain
have had NW winds gusting to 15-25 kts, so added a TEMPO group for
that potential at KFAY and KRWI over the next few hours. A backdoor
cold front will move from NE to SW across central NC this evening
between about 22z and 05z. The front will be accompanied by a band
of clouds around 6-10 kft but no precipitation. Its passage will
also result in a wind shift from N to E/NE, and winds could gust to
20-25 kts along and for several hours behind its passage, before
turning light (7 kts or less) overnight into Sunday.

Outlook: Another frontal system will affect cntl NC with a chance of
flight restrictions and showers/storms on Mon. Otherwise, mainly dry
weather and VFR conditions are expected through Thu.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Danco/Green
AVIATION...Danco/MWS