Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

596
FXUS62 KRAH 020653
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
152 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Nothing appreciable.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 152 AM Monday...

1) Patchy dense fog will be possible late tonight and again
Tuesday night.

2) No big pattern change for the next 7-10 days, at least noted.
Essentially very small chance of showers mainly Thursday, and any
showers will bring light QFP. Remaining very warm.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 152 AM Monday...

KEY MESSAGE 1...  Patchy dense fog will be possible late tonight and
again Tuesday night.

A weakening disturbance will pass to our west and north today as
strong mid/upper ridging holds over our region. Essentially it will
be dry today, with a few sprinkles possible. Essentially no
measurable rainfall as it will remain NW of our region as the upper
ridging holds. A dry sub-cloud layer associated with the high
pressure extending SW across our region from the Mid-Atlantic will
aid in keeping it dry. Expect mainly cloudy skies this morning with
clearing from the west this afternoon. Highs again in the 65-72
range.

For the fog potential, it appears that as the high pressure slowly
shifts east, a weak WAA pattern will begin tonight with a more mean
easterly flow developing. The near surface dew points will be on the
rise by around daybreak Tuesday and beyond. Saturation is likely to
occur late tonight especially in areas of the eastern Piedmont and
Coastal Plain. This region should have low stratus and patchy dense
fog later tonight and early Tuesday. This potential will exist again
Wednesday morning with the expected unusually high dew points and
temperatures for early Nov.

KEY MESSAGE 2... No big pattern change for the next 7-10 days, at
least noted now. Essentially very small chance of showers mainly
Thursday, and any showers will bring light QFP. Remaining very warm
at least through Friday.

Temperatures will run 10-15 degrees above climatological normal
through Friday. Highs will consistently reach the mid 70s
to lower 80s, with warm overnight lows generally in the mid 50s
to lower 60s.

There will eventually be a pattern change, but given the lack of any
verification of any rain in the past two weeks, it is hard to buy
into the models at 6-10 days out at the current time. I am not
buying any significant rainfall for the next 10 days attm.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1241 AM Monday...

24 hour TAF period: VFR conditions, with overcast mid and high-level
clouds, will prevail through 12z-15z/Monday, then clear out
from the west between 15z and 21z/Monday. There may be a few
sprinkles overnight and early Monday as a disturbance passes to our
west and north Monday morning.


Outlook: Areas of fog and low stratus may develop Tuesday and/or
and Wednesday morning. A moist axis, and a couple of weakening bands
of light showers may precede a slow-moving cold front across the
region late Thursday and Friday. Otherwise, VFR.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett/Danco
AVIATION...Badgett