Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

701
FXUS62 KRAH 042316
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
716 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* No major changes

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 210 PM Sunday...

1) Cloudy and cool conditions and patches of drizzle/mist continue
through the day today.

2) Temperatures will moderate through the week, with rain likely
returning by the end of next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 210 PM Sunday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Cloudy and cool conditions and patches of
drizzle/mist continue through the day today.

Yesterday`s cold front looks to have stalled along the coast and
into South Carolina, allowing the CAD wedge airmass to set up over
central NC. That has led to the cool, cloudy, and drizzly/misty
conditions that have been ongoing. This should continue through the
day today, with highs looking to only reach the mid 60s to
potentially around 70 in the south. Much of the light rain should be
done for the afternoon, with some light drizzle/mist continuing in
the northeastern portions of the CWA. Late tonight, another round of
light rain may be possible in the far southeast as another wave
moves along the stalled front.


KEY MESSAGE 2... Temperatures will moderate through the week, with
rain likely returning by the end of next weekend.

As the cold front along the Atlantic shoreline slides offshore
Monday with high pressure building into the Ohio Valley, cloud cover
will be slow to depart central North Carolina. Considering there
will be more sun in the west Monday afternoon than the east, this
will likely be a rare case where the Triad has the warmest
temperatures, although all locations are likely to reach the mid
70s. Northeasterly flow will bring slightly cooler highs on Tuesday,
but all locations are expected to warm into the 80s by Thursday.

Thursday should be the warmest day out of the next seven, with cloud
cover beginning to increase by Friday in advance of a storm that
will move north from the Gulf into the Mississippi River Valley. The
current forecast introduces a chance of rain beginning Saturday
night and continues to increase into Sunday. There are still many
days for the specifics to change with this part of the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 716 PM Sunday...

Satellite imagery and observations continue to reveal widespread
stratus. The back edge of the MVFR stratus is presently approaching
the Triad terminals, but upstream observations in western NC
continue to indicate areas of MVFR ceilings. With continued low-
level drying expected, a gradual trend to VFR should prevail at
GSO/INT, though the latest forecast may be a tad too early. Most
guidance has MVFR lifting to VFR between 00z and 03z at GSO/INT.

Further east, IFR-MVFR stratus is expected to prevail through the
night. The lowest ceilings are expected at RWI and secondly at RDU,
where the low-level moisture is favored to linger in place under
weak convergence.

As the low-level moisture dries out across the north, there is the
potential of fog early Mon. The HRRR/REFS/HREF indicate a potential
for LIFR fog across the northern Piedmont between 09z and 14z,
roughly between the Triad and RDU terminals. Confidence is not high
given widespread high cloudiness. However, given enough of a signal
in the guidance, introduced a period of LIFR at GSO/RDU. Areas of
LIFR ceilings are expected at RWI early Mon in the low-level
saturated airmass.

A gradual rise in ceilings is expected Mon, lifting from IFR/MVFR to
VFR around 17-20z, slowest to erode at RWI. Thereafter, VFR should
prevail into Monday evening.

Outlook: VFR conditions return late Monday afternoon and prevail
through much of the upcoming work week.


&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...LH/Green
AVIATION...Kren