Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

677
FXUS62 KRAH 011906
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
206 PM EDT Sun Nov 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Patchy light rain/sprinkles will be possible over the Piedmont
  through this evening and again early Mon.

* Patchy dense fog will be possible Tue and Wed morning, especially
  over the ne Piedmont and nrn-cntl Coastal Plain.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 200 PM Sunday...

1) Temperatures will remain seasonable and slightly above average,
with considerable mid and high-level clouds and patchy light
rain/sprinkles over the Piedmont, through Mon.

2) Patchy dense fog will be possible Tue and Wed morning, especially
over the ne Piedmont and nrn-cntl Coastal Plain.

3) Chance of showers from late Wednesday night through Friday night
or early Saturday. Above-normal temperatures expected through the
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 200 PM Sunday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Temperatures will remain seasonable and slightly
above average, with considerable mid and high-level clouds and
patchy light rain/sprinkles over the Piedmont, through Mon.

A shortwave perturbation, evident in regional radar and GOES-E
satellite data over the TN Valley and embedded within an elongated
synoptic trough from the upr Great Lakes to the ern Gulf, will
progress ewd and across and offshore the Middle Atlantic and
Carolinas through Mon. It will be accompanied by considerable mid
and high-level cloudiness and virga. Some of the precipitation may
reach the surface in the form of patchy, very light measurable rain
of a hundredth or two, or non-measurable sprinkles. Those occurrences
will be favored along the track of the shortwave disturbance and
strongest ascent from s-cntl VA to n-cntl NC Mon morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2... Patchy dense fog will be possible Tue and Wed
morning, especially over the ne Piedmont and nrn-cntl Coastal Plain.

Skies will clear from west to east with the passage of the
aforementioned shortwave perturbation late Mon-Mon early night, then
remain generally so until deep moisture increases ahead of the next
trough aloft late Wed and Wed night. Related mainly clear, and calm
to light nely to ely stirring within the lingering presence of a
surface ridge axis, will favor good radiational cooling both Mon and
Tue night. As the related airmass gradually modifies and low-levels
moisten through that time, the risk of morning fog will increase.
Some may become dense over the ne Piedmont and nrn and cntl Coastal
Plain, where the greatest overlap of calm and moisture recovery is
anticipated.

KEY MESSAGE 3... Chance of showers from late Wednesday night through
Friday night or early Saturday. Above-normal temperatures expected
through the week.

A frontal system approaching the Mississippi Valley Wednesday
morning will lift a warm front north across the Mid-Atlantic on
Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front. The primary boundary
will cross the region Thursday into Friday before pushing offshore
Friday evening, followed by a weak, dry reinforcing boundary early
Saturday.

Showers are expected to develop over the western Piedmont late
Wednesday night before spreading eastward Thursday and Thursday
night. Behind the initial boundary, drier air will begin filtering
into the region Friday night. Model guidance has trended drier over
recent runs, cutting back both PoPs and QPF; consequently,
confidence in widespread precipitation remains low. For now, the
highest PoPs are focused Thursday afternoon, where enough
instability may develop to support a few isolated rumbles of thunder.

Temperatures will run 10 to 14 degrees above climatological normal
throughout the period. Highs will consistently reach the mid 70s to
lower 80s, with mild overnight lows generally in the mid 50s to
lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1250 PM Sunday...

Considerable mid and high-level clouds and VFR ceilings will be
accompanied by virga and persist through Monday. While patches of
very light rain may reach the surface, favored at INT/GSO through
this evening and throughout the Piedmont early Mon, no restrictions
to visibility are anticipated. Nely surface winds are expected to be
mostly 10 kts or less, though with an occasional gust into the mid
teens kts possible this afternoon.

Outlook: Areas of fog and low stratus are expected to develop Tue
and Wed morning, probably with greatest coverage from e-cntl VA
through n-cntl NC and with highest probability of occurrence and
lowest restrictions at RWI and RDU. A moist axis, and a couple of
bands of showers and possible flight restrictions, will precede a
slow-moving cold front across the region Thu and Fri.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWS/CA
AVIATION...MWS