Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

431
FXUS62 KRAH 031019
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
630 AM EDT Wed Jun 03 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Lowered temperatures a few degrees tonight in our anomalous
  pattern.

* Raised high temperatures a few degrees due to the very dry air in
  place, especially Thursday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 205 AM Wednesday...

1) Very dry air and soil moisture levels will lead to desert-like
conditions with very warm days and very cool nights into Thursday
night.

2) Temperatures rising back into the 90s by Friday, with the rest of
the extended period remaining mainly dry.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 205 AM Wednesday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Very dry air and soil moisture levels will lead to
desert-like conditions with mainly sunny warm days and clear and
very cool nights into Thursday night.

The mid/upper low offshore combined with the chilly surface high
pressure to our north will continue to supply very low relative
humidities (DAA and sinking air) for early June. The anomalous
northerly flow will combine with mainly sunny skies to bring desert-
like conditions through Thursday. Highs today will reach the lower to
mid 80s after near record lows early today in the 40s/lower 50s.

Relative humidities will be in the 20s again this afternoon -
essentially very rare for our region in early June. Lows tonight
with clear skies and light winds will be in the upper 40s to
mid 50s.

We went a few degrees lower than the NBM and most statistical
guidance for low and a few degrees  higher for MaxT during the
period.

Highs Thursday will warm further into the mid to upper 80s with very
low relative humidities again.

2) Temperatures rising back into the 90s by Friday, with the rest of
the extended period remaining mainly dry.

Canadian high pressure will start to shift off the Mid-Atlantic
coast Thursday night or Friday morning as mid-level ridging will
start building into the region. This will allow winds to shift to
be mainly southerly which will bring warmer air. Thus, high
temperatures are expected to reach the upper 80s to lower 90s on
Friday afternoon. Saturday should be the warmest day, with highs in
the lower to mid 90s, with Sunday looking to be a few degrees
cooler.

During this time, much or all of central NC is in Moderate
HeatRisk, meaning that being outside in the heat may impact
individuals sensitive to heat who don`t have access to adequate
cooling or hydration.

As the ridging shifts offshore on Sunday, highs should return to the
80s on Monday and Tuesday. During this time, a relatively dry air
remains over the region, which means central NC should remain mostly
dry through at least Saturday. The chance of isolated showers may
return Sunday and Monday as the ridge moves offshore and greater
moisture returns.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 630 AM Wednesday...

TAF period: VFR conditions expected through 12z/Friday.

Outlook beyond 12Z Friday: Generally VFR conditions through
the weekend.

Increasing storm chances with non-VFR weather possible next
week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett/LH
AVIATION...Badgett