Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

289
FXUS62 KRAH 251016
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
620 AM EDT Wed Mar 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 110 AM Wednesday...

* No significant changes to the forecast. Dry into Friday with a
  warming trend.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 110 AM Wednesday...

1) A strong cold front will move across the region late Friday and
Friday night.

2) Windy and turning colder Saturday behind Friday`s cold front.
Frost/freeze conditions possible Sunday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

As of 110 AM Wednesday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... A strong cold front could move across the region
Friday into Friday night.

Aloft, a trough will amplify over the East Coast Thu night through
Sat as s/w disturbances track ewd across the Great Lakes/OH Valley,
gradually pushing the ridge to the southwest. At the surface, a lee
trough will develop Thu night, and remain in place until the cold
front, approaching from the NW, moves into and across the area
Fri/Fri night. Canadian high pressure will build into the region in
the wake of the front over the weekend as it moves ewd across the OH
Valley and mid-Atlantic.

Showers and perhaps a few storms will be possible with the fropa.
Based off forecast soundings from the GFS, SBCAPE of less than 300
J/Kg, with 6km Bulk Shear around 40 kts are expected, with PWATs
peaking around 1.5". The front will likely be the primary forcing
mechanism, so expect best chance of storms along and ahead of the
front. However, as mentioned in the previous discussion, a remnant
EML over the High Plains could provide a cap and prevent any deep
convection from developing, as boundary layer moisture lacks Gulf
moisture influence. Regardless, winds will be breezy/gusty Fri/Fri
night, with swly winds gusting to around 25 mph ahead of the front
becoming nly and remaining gusty behind it.

Lows Thu night in the upper 50s to low 60s expected, while highs Fri
should range from low 80s north to upper 80s south.

KEY MESSAGE 2... Windy and turning colder Saturday behind Friday`s
cold front. Frost/freeze conditions possible Sunday morning.

Behind the front late Friday, high pressure will move from the
northern Plains east to over the Carolinas by Sunday morning.  While
doing so, look for an increased pressure gradient and windy
conditions behind the front Friday night into early Saturday.  The
wind will diminish by late Saturday as the pressure gradient begins
to relax. The other notable item will be the colder airmass that
will move into the area.  Highs Saturday could be as much as 30
degrees colder than the previous day (upper 50s to lower 60s
Saturday). Sunday morning lows could fall to the mid 30s, which
under clear skies and light wind, we could see some frost that
morning as well.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 620 AM Wednesday...

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hrs at central NC
terminals, with high confidence. Scattered to broken layers of
mostly high cloudiness will continue to pass over the area, with
mostly thin cloudiness today.

Looking beyond 12z/Thu, VFR conditions are likely to hold into Fri,
then an approaching cold front will bring a chance for sub-VFR
conditions and shower chances from late Fri into early Sat morning.
VFR conditions should then return for late Sat through Sun.

&&

.CLIMATE...

Record High Temperatures:

March 27:
KGSO: 86/1921
KRDU: 87/2007
KFAY: 87/1946


Record High Minimum Temperatures:

March 27:
KGSO: 60/2007
KFAY: 65/1949

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hartfield/10
AVIATION...Badgett
CLIMATE...RAH