Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

916
FXUS62 KRAH 110547
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1247 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Light shower chances Thursday into Friday continue to trend lower,
  with most areas perhaps only seeing a trace.

* Some adverse fire weather concerns may develop Friday and Saturday
  with the combined downslope wind gusts, low relative humidity, and
  continued drying fuel moistures.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 126 PM Tuesday...

1) A moisture-starved clipper low and frontal system will bring
below average temperatures for Friday through mid next week. Some
fire concerns may develop this weekend ahead of the widespread
freezing conditions.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 126 PM Tuesday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... A moisture-starved clipper low and frontal system
will bring below average temperatures for Friday through mid next
week. Some fire concerns may develop this weekend ahead of the
widespread freezing conditions.

Nearly all guidance now has continued to trend drier with the
moisture-starved clipper low that is forecast to track to our north
Thursday into Friday. With this northward trend, little if any
rainfall is forecast across central NC as the bulk of the storm`s
energy focuses across the Mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley. With that,
most of our area will be under a dry downslope pre and post-frontal.
The main cold front pushes through Thursday night, while a
reinforcing crosses the region Friday night. There could still be a
chance of a few sprinkles or light rain Friday as a secondary
shortwave digs across the Carolinas and Virginia, but even then
moisture will be lacking.

After the frontal passage, highs will go from the upper 60s to low
70s Thursday to the low to middle 50s Friday through mid next week.
This is about 10 degrees below normal, with the chilliest day
expected Saturday. Widespread freezing temperatures still appear
likely Sunday and Monday morning, when the pressure gradient finally
relaxes from gusty NW winds Friday and Saturday and CAA abates.
During this period, lows are favored to be in the upper 20s to low
30s. Continued below average temperatures and consecutive mornings
of damaging cold will continue into early next week as the cold
surface high remains in place.

With little if any rain forecast from the system, attention turns to
possible fire concerns with the ongoing drought. The concerned time
period is Friday and Saturday, when there could be an overlap of
gusty NW winds of 20-30 mph and RH in the 30-35 percent range. Right
now, conditions appear marginal, especially given chilly daytime
temperatures and wind gusts slightly below IFD criteria. But this is
something we will monitor as the week progresses.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1245 AM Wednesday...

VFR conditions are generally expected over the 24 hour TAF period.
There is another very low, but non-zero chance of some shallow,
patchy fog overnight in the south and east. If restrictions do occur
the best chance would be at FAY and RWI. Otherwise, just some upper
level clouds are expected through the day, with light, generally
southerly winds.

Outlook: VFR conditions should mainly prevail through the weekend.
There is a low chance of rain Thursday and Friday, but it appears to
only be light, with no restrictions expected. Gusty NW to N winds
will still be possible Friday and Saturday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett/Kren
AVIATION...LH