Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

947
FXUS62 KRAH 101137
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
635 AM EST Sat Jan 10 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
A wedge front will remain quasi-stationary over the western portions
of NC today. A strong cold front will overtake it as it moves east
of the Appalachians and across central NC tonight. Yet another,
reinforcing cold front will move across the region on Sunday,
followed by chilly high pressure that will settle across the
Southeast through Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 218 AM Saturday...

* Rain and fog in the Triad this morning, Showers this afternoon.

* Unseasonably warm and windy elsewhere, with a chance of showers
  and isolated storms central this afternoon into the early
  evening.

* High shear/low CAPE environment, can not rule out an isolated
  damaging wind gust over the Piedmont through this afternoon and
  early evening, over the Piedmont.

A wedge boundary remains in place over the NW Piedmont early today.
It is essentially stationary and should remain so through the
morning. Several waves of energy aloft will move NE a top the
boundary allowing for widespread rain, mist, and fog on the NW or
cool side of the boundary. This is where the most rainfall will
occur today including the areas from north of Charlotte through the
Triad to Henderson. Most of the rain will remain west and north of
the Triangle Area through the period today, but some light showers
are possible this morning.

This afternoon, we will continue watching the possibility of a
stronger MCV (upper level energy) that may track NE along the
aforementioned wedge boundary early to mid afternoon. Rainfall may
be enhanced in the Piedmont, with a potential line of low topped
convection developing along the boundary - then moving ENE into the
northern Piedmont this afternoon. This area will have to be watched
given the increasing shear and low level instability. The latter of
which remains marginal, but enough to warrant a low end potential
for some strong to locally damaging wind gusts along any line.
Showers will still be possible as the front drifts in the central
and eastern areas late this afternoon and evening, but the wind
shear will exit NE and the low level instability will wane quickly
toward dusk.

Highs today should reach their peak toward the end of the day in the
west (with all the rain there), but reach peak by 3-4 PM east of the
boundary where the SW winds will be strong and gusty this afternoon.
Expect highs in the 60s NW to 70s SE.

SW winds in the central and east will be windy at 15-25 mph with
gusts to 35 mph.

Skies will gradually clear off later tonight with winds becoming NW
at 5-15 mph behind the front. Prefer the warmer lows with the
typically lagging CAA in the central and east. Lows 40s west and
lower to mid 50s east.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 215 AM Saturday...

Windy and sharply colder and drier Sunday.

Clear and cold Sunday night, with diminishing wind.

A secondary cold front will push through the region dry on Sunday.
Expect gusty WNW winds at 15-25 mph and much drier and chillier air.
Wind gusts of 30-35 mph will be commonplace with a few gusts to 40
mph, especially in the NW.

Highs in the 40s NW to 50s east will occur in the morning, with
slowly falling temperatures during the afternoon.

It will be mainly clear and cold Sunday night with lows in the 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 100 AM Saturday...

*Dry for the first half of the week, uncertain precipitation chances
 second half of the week

*Below normal temperatures throughout the week

Behind the pair of cold fronts this weekend, high pressure will
build across the Southeast Monday and Tuesday. Forecast confidence
remains low for the second half of the week. There is uncertainty as
to where/when a coastal low will develop along the Atlantic
coastline Wednesday into Thursday, and eventually how much moisture
will be available along an arriving cold front with a low pressure
system moving across the Great Lakes. While the precipitation chance
will be minimal Wednesday and Wednesday night, the most likely
timing for any precipitation will be Thursday. There is still the
potential that precipitation could end as a few flurries Thursday
night, but precipitation amounts should be minimal. High pressure
will build back in for Friday.

Temperatures will be below normal throughout the week - highs will
be near 50 on Monday, in the 50s on Tuesday and Wednesday, then
primarily in the 40s on Thursday and Friday. After another night
with below freezing temperatures Monday night, there should be some
brief moderation Tuesday and Wednesday nights before lows fall back
into the 20s everywhere Thursday night.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 635 AM Saturday...

Periods of showers will persist in the Triad through the afternoon
with associated IFR conditions. Meanwhile VFR conditions will
persist at the eastern TAF sites (RDU/FAY/RWI) this evening before
IFR/LIFR ceilings return overnight by around 09z-12z. Scattered
showers will spread east to RDU by late afternoon, and an
isolated storm can`t be ruled out. Even outside of any
showers, SW winds will increase everywhere today, gusting to 25-30
kts in the afternoon (less so at INT where the
wedge will inhibit mixing somewhat).

Outlook: VFR should return tonight and continue through
Wednesday. However, winds will be strong and gusty Sunday from the
W-NW at 15-30kt.

&&

.CLIMATE...

Record High Temperatures:

January 10:

KRDU: 75/1930
KFAY: 79/1930


Record High Minimum Temperatures:

January 10:
KGSO: 58/1937
KFAY: 59/1937



&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Badgett/MWS
NEAR TERM...Badgett
SHORT TERM...Green
LONG TERM...Green
AVIATION...Badgett/Danco
CLIMATE...RAH