Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

787
FXUS62 KRAH 250013
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
813 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Small adjustments in rain chances rest of today, with a delay in
  cloud erosion.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 345 PM Thursday...

1) Cold air damming and breezy/cool weather will persist into
tonight. Dry weather and increasing sunshine will follow for Fri
through the middle of next week, with temps returning to above
normal by early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 345 PM Thursday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Cold air damming and breezy/cool weather will
persist into tonight. Dry weather and increasing sunshine will
follow for Fri through the middle of next week, with temps returning
to above normal by early next week.

The cold air damming regime remains in place today, with
considerable low clouds and a stout, cool surface flow from the NE
and N feeding lower dewpoints into the region, although partial
clearing is taking place in the far northwest. An upper-level wave
across the southern Appalachians has triggered some patchy bands of
light rain and drizzle into the afternoon, mainly across the
Piedmont and Sandhills. This light rain has started to dissipate in
the last few hours as the mid-level energy starts to skirt into SC
and eventually pushes offshore tonight. As dry air continues to work
in this evening, we should see a gradual erosion of the low stratus,
mainly from west to east, slowest to erode over the Coastal Plain.
Generally lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s are expected by Friday
morning.

The slow-moving Ohio Valley mid level low will push into the eastern
Carolinas late tonight through early Fri, as much lower PW spreads
into central NC from the N and NNW. The more deeply drier air and
loss of dynamic forcing for ascent will lead to increasing sunshine
overall, although clouds may linger for a longer time across our
northeast Fri, courtesy of the developing intense low just off the
Mid Atlantic coast. As this low wobbles and drifts slowly northward
off the Northeast coast through the weekend and into early next
week, the center of the weakening parent high will retrograde WSW
into the central Great Lakes but continue to extend into our area.
This will equate to generally fair skies, dry weather, and a warming
trend, from below normal temps Fri to near normal readings by Sat
and above normal readings for Sun through Thu. Highs should be back
into the 80s Tue/Wed, although afternoon dewpoints in the 50s to
around 60s should keep conditions from becoming too uncomfortable.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 800 PM Thursday...

MVFR ceilings will linger at RWI and FAY this evening and may even
redevelop on a temporary basis at GSO/INT. Gradual drying and
clearing of the MVFR range cloud layer will otherwise result over
cntl NC overnight, accompanied by a steady and perhaps occasionally
gusty nly to nely surface breeze. Prevailing gustiness will then
probably develop with daytime heating by mid-late morning Fri.
Additionally, a renewed surge of moisture in nely flow down the
Middle Atlantic coast may support a several hour period of ceilings
right around 3000 ft AGL at RWI from late morning through mid
afternoon.

Outlook: A dry/continental airmass will remain over cntl NC and
favor VFR conditions for at least the next several days.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kren/Hartfield
AVIATION...MWS