Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

478
FXUS62 KRAH 022359
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
759 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* The fog potential appears a little less likely tonight with
  better much chances on Tuesday night.

* Wednesday and Wednesday night will largely be dry with rain
  chances and amounts decreasing for Thursday with the main
  focus for at least a little rain now delayed into Friday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 215 PM Monday...

1) Some patchy dense fog is possible late tonight and
especially on Tuesday night.

2) Above normal temperatures continue through Friday with rain
chances shifting primarily to Friday afternoon, followed by a dry,
cooler weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 215 PM Monday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Some patchy dense fog is possible late tonight and
especially on Tuesday night.

The upper level disturbance that produced some VFR sprinkles and
spotty rain earlier today is now exiting the area. Areas of mid and
high clouds are now shifting east.

The low level flow will gradually veer around and become more
easterly and southeasterly supporting an increase in low level
moisture. As we dive deeper into the transition season with cooler
and longer nights, the potential for fog and some stratus
increases. Areas of fog are possible tonight across eastern
areas in the Coastal Plain and the eastern Piedmont and more
widespread and impactful on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.

Outside of the fog and stratus, fair weather is expected over the
next couple of days with highs in the mid and upper 70s on Tuesday
with lows tonight and Tuesday night in the 40s to around 50.


KEY MESSAGE 2... Above normal temperatures
continue through Friday with rain chances shifting primarily to
Friday afternoon, followed by a dry, cooler weekend.

A frontal system approaching the Mississippi Valley Wednesday
morning will lift a warm front northward across the Mid-Atlantic on
Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front. The primary cold front
will cross the region Thursday night into Friday before pushing
offshore Friday evening, followed by a weak, dry reinforcing
boundary early Saturday.

As mentioned before, model guidance has trended notably drier for
Thursday, shifting the primary focus for precipitation to Friday
afternoon. The highest coverage remains focused along and east of
the US1 corridor. PoPs and QPF have been trimmed back for Thursday,
though an isolated shower or thunderstorm remains possible during
the afternoon. The good news is that models continue to agree and
show the reinforcing dry frontal boundary sweeping across the region
late Friday into early Saturday, assuring a dry weekend.

Temperatures will run 10 to 15 degrees above climatological normal
through Friday, with highs reaching the mid 70s to low 80s and mild
overnight lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. Expect overnight lows to
return to the 40s Saturday night, with highs moderating into the 60s
Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 755 PM Monday...

24 hour TAF period: VFR conditions this evening should give way to
IFR/LIFR stratus/fog tonight, highest confidence of lowest
restrictions for the longest duration in the east (KRWI), though
onset time is uncertain, most likely by 08Z Tue. Confidence
decreases farther west. While the signal for IFR/LIFR fog creeps to
near KRDU and KFAY, for now expect MVFR/IFR conditions. Some
guidance suggests a period of restrictions also possible at KINT and
KGSO, though confidence is lowest there. Conditions should gradually
improve after daybreak, with VFR expected to return everywhere by
15Z Tue. Calm to light ely winds should prevail tonight, with ely
wind of 10 kts or less expected Tue.

Outlook: Areas of fog and low stratus are expected to develop again
Wed morning, probably with greatest coverage from e-cntl VA through
n-cntl NC and with highest probability of occurrence and lowest
restrictions at RWI and RDU. A moist axis, and a couple of bands of
showers and possible flight restrictions, will precede a slow-moving
cold front across the region Thu and Fri.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Blaes/CA
AVIATION...10/Blaes