Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

537
FXUS62 KRAH 110748
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
248 AM EST Sun Jan 11 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will move across central NC this morning. Yet
another, reinforcing cold front will move across the region today.
This will be followed by chilly high pressure that will settle
across the Southeast through Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 248 AM Sunday...

* Increased Fire Danger Statement issued for the Southern Piedmont
  and Sandhills.

* Windy and turning colder later this morning through the day

* Clear and cold with diminishing wind tonight

The cold front will surge through the region through daybreak,
reaching the coast shortly thereafter. The winds will really begin
to increase behind the front, but the strongest winds will be later
in the morning through the afternoon. Winds will become WNW at 15-25
mph with frequent gusts to 30-35 mph. Occasional gusts to 40 mph are
likely in the NW Piedmont. Temperatures will generally fall through
the day, especially as a secondary surge of CAA arrives mid
afternoon through the evening.

The increased fire danger area is mainly for the southern part of
central NC where the overlap of the driest fuels, lowest relative
humidities, warmest temperatures, and some of the stronger winds
will be. Collaboration with the NCFS and surrounding forecast
offices revealed areas from Union to Cumberland counties as the main
area of concern late 11 am through dusk.

The temperatures will fall quickly after dark, with the winds
expected to slowly diminish to 10 mph or less late. Lows will dip
into the 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1235 AM Sunday...

* Dry and much colder

High pressure will begin Monday morning along the southern portion
of the Mississippi River and extend east into North Carolina through
the next 24 hours. Skies will be mostly sunny, with some high clouds
across the south. Behind the pair of weekend cold fronts, highs will
be below normal everywhere, with highs a few degrees on either side
of 50 degrees. Another cold night is expected, with all locations in
the 20s or lower 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1235 AM Sunday...

* Precipitation uncertainty remains, low chance for rain Wednesday
  and Thursday

* Near normal temperatures middle of the week becoming below normal

High pressure will remain across the Southeast on Tuesday, and an
increase in southerly flow will allow temperatures to rise a bit
higher than Monday, reaching the mid to upper 50s. Still not seeing
much phasing between the coastal low Wednesday/Thursday and the low
moving across the Great Lakes. Recent model runs are showing that
another wave of low pressure may develop along the Great Lakes low`s
cold front as it passes over VA/NC, but this is a new development.
The new forecast calls for a slight chance of rain everywhere
Wednesday night and Thursday, with a slightly higher chance of rain
from the Triangle to the north and east. With precipitation now
expected to depart the region more quickly, the chance of snow has
been removed from the forecast for Thursday evening as colder air
funnels back into the region. Another area of high pressure will
move across the Southeast Friday and Saturday, and temperatures will
fall below normal once again.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1235 AM Sunday...

Initially VFR conditions and occasionally gusty sswly surface winds
may briefly become MVFR with the passage of a band of showers and
mainly MVFR ceilings, both along a cold front that will move across
cntl NC tonight. Veering/shifting surface winds to wly/nwly will
also result with the passage of the front.

The cold front will move fully east of cntl NC by 12Z Sun, after
which time very strong and gusty wnwly surface winds will prevail
with daytime heating through the day Sun. A band of 6-8
thousand ft ceilings and widely scattered, high-based showers may
accompany a reinforcing cold front across especially the Piedmont
of NC Sun afternoon. The weak/shallow character of the showers, and
their high bases atop a very deep and dry boundary and sub-cloud
layer, suggests most or all of the associated precipitation will
sublimate/evaporate before reaching the surface. So while no
visibility restrictions are expected, the localized cooling from
sublimation/evaporation may locally and briefly enhance surface wind
gusts, up to 35-40 kts.

Outlook: VFR, at least until a strong low pressure system may impact
the Middle Atlantic region centered around the day Thu.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
As of 248 AM Sunday...

The increased fire danger area is mainly for the southern part of
central NC where the overlap of the driest fuels, lowest relative
humidities, warmest temperatures, and some of the stronger winds
will be. Collaboration with the NCFS and surrounding forecast
offices revealed areas from Union to Cumberland counties as the main
area of concern late 11 am through dusk.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Badgett/MWS
NEAR TERM...Badgett
SHORT TERM...Green
LONG TERM...Green
AVIATION...Badgett/MWS
FIRE WEATHER...Badgett/CBL