Winston-Salem, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

150
FXUS62 KRAH 300001
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
800 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 800 PM Sunday...

*  Increased fire danger statement again for Monday from 1100 AM
   until 800 PM.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 800 PM Sunday...

1) Increased Fire Danger statement wanted by the NCFS again for
Monday. A state-wide fire ban remains in place and prohibits all
open outdoor burning until further notice.

2) Extended period of above to much above normal temperatures
expected, with mainly dry conditions expected through late week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 800 PM Sunday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Increased Fire Danger again Monday.

A state-wide fire ban remains in place and prohibits all open
outdoor burning until further notice.

NC forestry officials are worried about relative humidity values
under 40 percent instead of the typical 25 percent given the very
dry fuels as we are just before spring green up. The SW return flow
around the departing high pressure will become 10-20 mph with gusts
to 25 mph by late morning through Monday afternoon, as well. With
much warmer temperatures in the 70s, conditions will continue to be
favorable for adverse fire behavior and spread.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
Extended period of above to much above normal temperatures expected,
with mainly dry conditions expected through late week.

As surface high pressure shifts off the mid-Atlantic coast,
southerly surface winds should return by Monday and continue through
mid-week. This will allow temperatures to return to above normal on
Monday and rise to about 15 to 20 degrees above normal by Wednesday.
In terms of high temperatures, this is seen by a return to the 70s
on Monday, increasing to the low to mid 80s on Wednesday. Low to mid
80s are then generally expected through the weekend. Lows during
this timeframe will return to the mid 50s to low 60s.

Isolated to scattered showers may be possible each day Wednesday
through Saturday as a few shortwaves look to pass north of the
region and moisture increases. Highest chances generally look to be
in the western and northern portions of the CWA. Rainfall totals
during this time should be light, with the 50th percentiles of the
GEFS and European ensemble showing generally less than 0.5 inch of
rain total through Sunday morning. Better rain chances will come
Sunday night into Monday as a cold front looks to approach and move
through the region sometime in this timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 800 PM Sunday...

High confidence in VFR conditions through 00z/Tuesday. A VFR cig
around 3-4k feet with stratocumulus is possible in the Triad on
Monday, otherwise expect mostly high cloudiness.

Outlook: Continued moisture return around what will be a persistent,
Bermuda high regime through the upcoming week, will favor a chance
of sub-VFR ceilings especially over the wrn Piedmont by Tuesday
morning and likely again on Wednesday morning.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett/Kren/Helock
AVIATION...Badgett